Monday, June 14, 2010

Conference Realignment: An MVC (Bradley) Megaconference Scenario?

Taking some time to consider megaconference scenarios that could include Bradley I've had trouble coming up with many that I think are particularly interesting, but an article at the Creighton Rivals (pay) site gives what I think to be a moderately realistic MVC scenario in which the Valley adds six basketball only teams to the conference to bring it to 16 teams.  The targets in that article are St. Louis, Dayton, and Xavier from the A-10, Butler from the Horizon League, and Marquette and DePaul from the Big East.

I don't think it's that far-fetched because I think if you can poach all six of those teams you have a conference attractive enough to get you a national TV deal that covers maybe 40% of your games... Or even maybe (this is a longer shot) a chance to partner with someone like Comcast (who hates the Big Ten Network) for a dedicated network.  The advantages in building a conference like that are that it would be a serious basketball contender, and likely send 4-6 teams to the Dance every year (if not a couple more in a big year), may command good TV money, would be quite strong in some other sports (particularly soccer), and has excellent geography.  The only problem I see is the obvious one of playing good enough chess to get the Big East teams to join you-- they don't make much money in the Big East and have to hate the travel, so maybe it's possible.

So how would it shake out?  I see a couple of options, but discount the Big East 16 teams all in one division model so that members can save some money with reasonable travel.  They are detailed below:

Two Division Solution

                                                           EAST (blue)                                               WEST (green)
                                                           Bradley                                                      Creighton
                                                           Butler                                                         Drake
                                                           Dayton                                                       Evansville
                                                           DePaul                                                       Missouri State
                                                           Illinois State                                                Northern Iowa
                                                           Indiana State                                              Saint Louis
                                                           Marquette                                                  Southern Illinois
                                                           Xavier                                                        Wichita State

You would play 18 conference games: 14 against your division mates (one home and one away) and 4 games against out of division opponents.  Problems with this alignment is the lack of games against your out of division opponents and a major gulf in conference strength between East and West.


Four Division Solution
                                                           NORTH (blue)                                            EAST (yellow)
                                                           Bradley                                                       Butler
                                                           DePaul                                                        Dayton
                                                           Illinois State                                                 Indiana State
                                                           Marquette                                                   Xavier

                                                           SOUTH (black)                                          WEST (green)
                                                           Evansville                                                    Creighton
                                                           Missouri State                                             Drake
                                                           Saint Louis                                                  Northern Iowa
                                                           Southern Illinois                                           Wichita State

In an arrangement like this one you'd play a home and away against each other team in your division and one game against each non-division team.  I think this gives you your best scheduling and would work out quite nicely.  You still have a monster of an MVC East in this one, but it's not as pronounced with more games being played outside of each division.

2 comments:

  1. The private schools outside of the MVC are going to have no interest in joining a conference with any of the public schools in the MVC

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  2. Yeah, that's a good point. The football at most of those state schools, albeit FCS football, is also a problem as I think football schools and basketball schools will get along less and less over time. That being said, the A10, Big East, and Horizon League teams mentioned above are already in conferences with a bunch of state teams. All of those conferences also have an academic profile as mixed as the MVC's.

    But, my favorite outcome for Bradley is one with a 10 or 12 team conference of all private all basketball all midwestern schools. I'll be posting some of those ideas in the next few days-- particularly since it looks like the megaconference scare is at least delayed with the unlikely last minute (and maybe temporary) survival of the Big XII.

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